Kera is in her flat in London,
England. Kera’s path didn’t project as
you would think. As a 2nd
generation Greek American that went to Greece every year, it seemed odd that
she would end up being a Chinese artifact dealer. With no ties to England, you would think that
she would stay in her native New York and if she were to venture to Europe, it
would be to Greece, which she was very familiar with. Instead, she became fluent in Mandarin and
moved to England. As she didn’t know
anyone in England when she moved there and she was constantly working even when
she lived in New York, she didn’t have a plethora of people she hadn’t grown
apart from that she could trust. Like
many things in her life, she took a route that one wouldn’t suspect for an
untrusting individual. She hired her cousin to be her bodyguard. First, she paid for him to be proficient in
weapons and hand to hand combat. The odd
thing was that Fanis, her cousin, also didn’t trust anybody.
Although they now live in
Europe, like the rest of the world, Kera and Fanis are still heavily interested
in US politics. They sit down to watch the
Democrat Debates. Given the previous
ones, they aren’t very optimistic that it’s going to be very good. The difference between now and then is that
Elizabeth Warren is now leading in some polls.
She has captured the socialists away from Bernie Sanders so she
continues with her universal healthcare talking point. The difference between her plan and Bernie’s
is that Sanders admits that he would have to tax the middle class whereas
Warren does not. She is asked point
blank if taxes on the middle class will go up like every economist has
guaranteed. Undeterred, she sticks with
her talking point that corporations and the wealthy will pay more in taxes and
the costs for the middle class will go down.
Kera knows that Fanis hates all the Democrats and socialism so she
throws up her hands and announces, “There you go” to spite him.
Fanis gives her a dirty look but
she just smiles back. He replies, “It
was a yes or no question and she deflected about a sob story about healthcare.”
“They always do that.”
“Doesn’t make it right. Look
before I started working for you, I worked in accounting. I also technically
studied economics in college. I know a little bit how taxes work.”
“Why don’t you enlighten me
then” She rejoined sarcastically
“There’s a thing in economics
called ‘pareto’ improvement, in which you make people better off without
harming anyone.”
“That would be nice.”
“So, Universal healthcare will
help some people. It, however, is not a
Pareto improvement because it will harm hundreds of millions of people. In economics, they simplify the world. Everyone is worth the same. If the number of people who are better off is
greater than the number of people that are harmed, it’s a good idea.”
“That makes sense.”
“You’d be surprised how you’d
change your mind because, and this is a common problem with non-conservatives,
you never think about degree.”
“Now you lost me.”
“Let’s say there’s a policy
where 10 people get an additional $100.
That’s great right? 10 people are better off. One person, however, loses $900. From an economics perspective, it’s good
because 10 people are better off and only one is worse off. Even as a whole, there’s growth because the
combined good is greater than the combined bad.
Others, however, may say that you only marginally helped 10 people and
destroyed one person in the process.
After all, I spend $100 sometimes when I go to dinner. Did the extra $100 really help me that much? If I dropped $900 on dinner, however, that
would hurt a little more.”
“You’re missing the point. Middle class taxes will go down.”
“No, that’s a lie. She didn’t even say that, she said
‘costs.’ You see how she changes the
question to make it better? Nobody asked
about costs they asked about taxes.”
“Alright but healthcare costs
will go down.”
“The government may take some of
the administrative costs but you’re still going to pay more in taxes than you
would’ve paid before on administrative healthcare costs. The only reason she says costs will go down
is because she doesn’t include the additional taxes as a cost. To you, however, it’s still money you can’t
use for other things.”
“Well, if that’s true, then I
would say she’s lying but I don’t think that’s true.”
“She’s lying no matter
what. Costs still go up with her
plan. Economists estimate that health
spending would increase by $6.6 Trillion over a decade despite the government
taking some of the administration costs of the people. There’s no way in which she’s telling you the
truth.”
“Well, if she lies, she’ll just
be punished when she tries to get re-elected”
“Are you serious? What about when Obama said that if you like
your plan, you can keep it? That was a
lie, he wasn’t punished. Even if you
want to, you’re stuck with her for four years.”
“Kind of like how we’re stuck with
Trump?”
“Except our economy is doing
phenomenally under Trump.”
“For now, we’re due for a
recession.”
“And you don’t think that we
have gone the longest in US history without a recession because of Trump’s
policies?”
“No, we had Obama for most of it.”
“Who was recovering from a
recession.”
“That was started under Bush”
“Bush limited the recession to
only a year and half. The economy was
recovering and growing before Obama took office.”
“And he continued it”
“With the slowest recovery in American
history.”
“We can finish this later. We got to go.”
“Where to?”
“Dublin”
“Oh, alright so quick flight.”
They get on the plane and head
to Dublin. Kera turns to Fanis and
utters, “Alright, so what about Bernie Sanders because you say that Warren is
just a liar.”
“He’s a hypocrite. He attacks billionaires and millionaires and
complains that there are three people that have more money than the bottom half
combined. Meanwhile, he’s a millionaire.”
“He just wants rich people like
him to pay their fair share”
“What is their fair share?”
“You want a number?”
“Yea, we can take any
group. Let’s just start with the top 20%
of earners. How much of the total taxes
should they pay?”
“I would say probably like 45%”
“Wow, you just gave them a huge
tax cut.”
“What do you mean?”
“The top 20% of earners pays 80%
of the taxes.”
Kera swallowed hard. “Well, again, I know how gullible you are so
I don’t know if that’s true.”
“Check the CBO or any tax
agency.”
“I will do that but obviously
Sanders doesn’t think it’s fair”
“Well, when you pay taxes you
can volunteer to pay more than you’re supposed to. Bernie Sanders never has so if taxes are such
a great net good and government is better at distributing money than the
private sector, why doesn’t he donate more than he needs to?”
“He’s just saying that
millionaires are greedy.”
“He’s a millionaire, so does he
include himself?”
“Whatever, bottom line is
there’s something wrong in America. You
have a lot of really rich people but then there’s homeless people and massive
student loan debts that drown college kids.
I’m still paying mine and I just turned 31.”
“Both of those problems are
government created problems”
“I
know you think that”
“Why else do you think that you
see more of it in cities with Democrats in charge or, who have bigger
government?”
“There’s more people in those
cities. It’s harder to house them all.”
“Houston has a big population,
they don’t have that problem. Detroit is
not one of the largest cities and it has it worse than probably any other
city.”
“Do you ever stop to think that
there may be a reason that nobody sees the world the way you do?”
“Well, you called me gullible
but it’s the opposite. There’s two types
of people that see the world differently; the superrich and the
superpolitical. The Superpolitical
realize that almost every single major problem in the world is caused by
central planners. Once you realize that,
you can’t unsee it and you can’t see the world in the same way.”
“Given that you graduated from
one of the most expensive schools in the country with only $5,000 in student
loans, I think you suffer from both.”
“The super-rich don’t pay any
student loans. They pay other people’s
student loans as an investment opportunity.”
“Fine, but you were upper middle
class and didn’t worry about money growing up.”
“Who cares? I know that in 2009, the government took over
student loans and the cost of tuition skyrocketed. Luckily, I graduated in 2006, or else I may
have had more than $5,000 in student loans.”
Kera and Fanis landed in Dublin
and checked into their hotel. It was
still early so they went to St. Patrick’s cathedral and walked around. Every time they went to look at a map, at least
three Irishmen would come and offer to help navigate them. The people of Dublin were so nice and they
were enjoying every minute of it. As
they walked into the catacombs of St Patrick’s cathedral, they were awed by the
intricate detail of the sculptures. It’s
not only that they were wearing vests over long sleeve shirts but the button
holes were so intricate that you felt you could button the vest if need
be. They went to dinner and thought to
go to a bar to try fish and chips.
Unfortunately, it wasn’t very good.
After going to a pub to drink
beer with the locals, they return to the hotel and catch some sleep for their
meeting the next day. Fanis was standing
in the room while Kera negotiated the sale.
The security guard for the client was also by the door. Fanis had become accustomed to having a
conversation with security while keeping an eye on Kera. The guard muttered, “Hey, I’m Colin”
“Fanis”
“Nice to meet you”
“Likewise”
There was no hand shake just a
slight nod of the head. They had to look
official. “I was on the plane with you
yesterday.”
Fanis had a perplexed look. Was this coincidence or were they being
followed. Why was this man in London
yesterday? More interestingly, how did
he notice Fanis when he wasn’t supposed to know him? He reasoned that security guards are supposed
to be observant. “What were you doing in
London?”
“Personal matter. I overheard you talking about the student
loans in America. You really think it’s
the government’s fault?”
“Yes. Besides the 2009 trend, I actually have the
numbers for when it really got bad.”
“When was that?”
“Before 1978, only poor people
got subsidies to go to school. In 1978,
they extended it to the middle class.
When that happened, tuition skyrocketed.
They raised by over 1,200% while inflation only went up 229%. Before that, college costs raised with
inflation or even below it.”
“I don’t understand why”
“Yea, I know. It’s hard to explain because somehow people
believe people are good and nice.
History has proven otherwise.
Everyone believes that if someone is selling something and you give him
money, he will lower his prices since he doesn’t need customers to make money
anymore since he’s getting outside money to support him. That’s not how it works though. What happens is you stop trying to please
your customers and release shittier products and then raise the prices because
you don’t want to get rid of it for less.
Take this case. If tuition is
$10,000 without any government help, and then the government decides to donate
$1,000 toward that tuition to help out the student. Everyone thinks that the school will keep the
price the same and the student will only have to pay $9,000. Instead, the school raises the tuition to
$11,000 because the student doesn’t care because he’s still paying the same
price but the school gets more money.
They think everyone wins but really you raised tuition. In this case, the student is still borrowing
the $1,000 and has to pay it back so his loans go up.”
“Deans are assholes.”
“It happens across the
board. During the Great Depression, the
government subsidized farmers thinking that bottom up tactics work so when
everyone was starving, they made food more expensive. Farmers kept their prices high because the
government was paying them so they didn’t need to make money by feeding the
populace so they could keep their prices high.
The results were people starved and we call it the great depression.”
“That brings me to the second
thing you mentioned. You said that
central planning causes homelessness.”
“In America, we have zoning
laws. They became popular in the 60’s
and took off until Reagan became president then they stopped. After Reagan was gone, they resumed at an
expedited rate. Since it costs more to
build housing in a city, the rents skyrocketed too. Since there was so much red tape to build
more apartments, and the population is constantly growing, you have increased
demand with stifled supply. Simple
economics; that leads to a jack in prices.
With housing getting more and more expensive, you have less people that
can afford housing. What results? More homelessness.”
Kera gets up and Fanis knows
that the meeting is over. He shakes
hands with Colin and leaves. Colin is
stocky at around 5’9” with pale skin.
Fanis is 6’0”and heavyset. As
they leave, Kera wants to go around the city and see the lesser known
churches. Dublin is not a big city but
walking around cities is Kera’s favorite thing to do. Kera declares, “Back to Warren, when she
talks about how rich people made money off the backs of the infrastructure
workers that built the roads and worked for them. Then you have cops and fireman that keep them
safe. You don’t think that they owe it
to give back?”
“There’s nothing to give back,
it was their tax money that funded all that.”
Suddenly, they heard someone
call out, “You Americans always complain about taxes. You broke from England because of taxes but
you don’t know how good you have it. The
collection of wealth is much worse in other countries than it is in America.”
Kera and Fanis look at each
other unsure why he sounds so mad. Fanis
speaks up, “I didn’t say we had it bad, I’m merely suggesting that Elizabeth
Warren is full of shit.”
“Well, what do the rich pay?”
Fanis looks up and around then
shrugs in his shoulder. Why not talk
taxes? “According to the tax foundation,
in 2016, 140.9 million taxpayers earned $10.2 Trillion. Of that, they paid $1.4 Billion in
taxes. That means that 1% of the people
paid 40% of the federal income. How can
you say they’re not paying their fair share?”
“That’s just the really
rich. They don’t care about money so
they can afford all that. It gets worse
as you go down the classes.”
“The top 50% of earners, that’s
half, pays 97% of the taxes. I’m not
sure why you think the poor get screwed when they the bottom half of people
only pay 3% of the taxes.”
“That doesn’t sound right.”
“Why not? Do you know that America has a progressive
tax system? That’s how it works; the
more money you make, the more percentage you pay.”
“You seem to know a lot about
taxes for a bodyguard.”
“This wasn’t always my
profession.”
“I knew to be wary of you
people. You’re not Americans. You (meaning Fanis) look white but she (Kera)
is no American.” Kera has olive skin and she went tanning to make herself even
darker. She had sharp facial features
and long black hair standing at 5’4.” Due to her dark features, she could pass
for Middle Eastern. Ireland has been
accepting Middle Eastern migrants for a while now but the local population was
beginning to push back on this as their culture was deteriorating and a lot of
them were driven out of their homes.
Economics worked in Ireland too.
You have a small island and an influx of people with limited
housing. This drives the prices up so
rents in Ireland were rising based on their open border policy. The man continued, “We don’t like you Muslims
coming over here and competing with us for housing.”
“We’re Christians and we are
leaving in a couple days. We aren’t
competing with you for housing. Just for
the record though; we’re Greek.”
“Bullshit, that’s why you live
in London with all the other Muslims.
It’s not even a European city anymore.
Hell, it’s not even an English city.”
“Well, that is why they have
Brexit and Nigel Farage has a following”
“You Muslim men come here and
rape our women. I think it’s time I
return the favor.”
“Colin, you really don’t want to
do this.”
“Oh, so you do remember me?”
“I just met you of course I
remember you.”
“Well, it’s time for you people
to know you’re not welcome.”
Kera was getting worried and
Fanis stepped between her and Colin.
Colin threw a punch and Fanis ducked under it and then fired two left
jabs to Colin’s kidneys. When Colin
swung back, Fanis again ducked and came up uppercutting with his right. Colin backed up and grabbed his jaw. Fanis put his hands up and stated, “I don’t
want to fight man. We’re not Muslims. We’re Greek Orthodox and leaving in a couple
days. We don’t live here.”
“So don’t” Colin seethed as he
charged Fanis and tackled him to the ground.
Fanis thought the fight was over and was caught off guard. At this point, Kera ran and got a cab back to
her hotel. Colin mounted Fanis and
rained down fists. All Fanis could do
was cover his head with his arms and scrunch his shoulders up to give his face
as much protection as he could. Fanis
times Colin’s punches and then moved his head at the last second so that Colin
nailed the ground with his right fist.
Colin winced in pain and Fanis used this opportunity to shove Colin off
him. They circled each other with
Colin’s right knuckles bleeding and Fanis’ head streaming blood. Fanis threw his left as a decoy and came hard
with his right. Colin ignored the left
and blocked the right backhanding Fanis across the face after he stopped the
swinging momentum. Colin locked up Fanis’
arms and they shifted trying to get an advantage. Colin crouched down making it harder for the
taller Fanis. Colin finally got a
dominant position and flipped Fanis onto his back. Fanis immediately used his right leg to
neutralize Colin’s arm by raising it to Colin’s shoulder on the inside of his
left arm. Colin swung and Fanis kicked
his clavicle raising his torso enough for Colin to miss. Fanis replaced his leg on Colin’s shoulders
and quickly swung his arms to trap Colin’s right arm in Colin’s right
armpit. Fanis then raised his left leg
to interlock ankles with his right and flexed his feet. Colin was now being choked by his own
arm. Fanis leaned back for the triangle
chokehold was locked in deep. Now it was
just a matter of waiting.
Colin felt his breath fading and
his head getting light. He knew he had
to get out of the hold but didn’t know how.
He then had an idea. His left arm may not be able to get the momentum to
swing since Fanis’ legs will block it, but he finally saw an out. He moved his body forward and reached out
with his left arm and jammed his thumb into Fanis’ left eye. Fanis tried to wait him out but when there’s
someone pushing on your eye, it’s not a pain you want to endure very long. Fanis let go of the hold and shoved Colin off
him. He got up and blinked rapidly. Colin shot up and punched Fanis in the
kidneys and drove him to a bench shoving Fanis’s upper body against the back of
the bench. The shots came back to his
kidneys and Fanis lifted his right leg and stomped down on Colin’s right. He then shot his head back and smacked the
back of his head against Colin’s mouth.
As blood filled Colin’s mouth, Fanis turned to his left and put his
entire 215 pounds behind a right hook that smacked against Colin’s temple. It hurt Fanis’ hand but Colin was out
cold. He hobbled off as the kidney shots
took their toll. He hailed a cab and
went back to the hotel.
When he got back, Kera greeted
him with a hug. Fanis hugged back and
undressed himself as he lied down on the bed.
Kera asked, “Are you alright?”
“Yea, I’ll be fine, I just need
to rest.”
“What happened?”
“He got in some good body shots
but I knocked his ass out.”
“You feel like going out?”
“No”
“Alright, I’ll get room
service.”
“Thanks”
“You look okay, you got a little
blood on your face but other than that, not bad for someone that just got in a
street fight.”
“You can’t see the pain kidney
shots cause.”
“Alright, do you want to talk
more about Warren?”
“Well, after everything I told
you about how much the rich pay in taxes, how can you not think that when she
doubles the federal taxes, it won’t affect the middle class when 50% of people
already pay 97% of the taxes?”
“Just take more from the
uber-wealthy”
“The top 1% already pay a tax
rate higher than the bottom 50% pay”
“Well, yea that’s how
progressive taxes work.”
“There was a New York Times
piece that tried to deny that. I thought
it might have corrupted you.”
“I’m curious about the numbers.”
“I’m curious about the numbers.”
“Well, the CBO says that the top
1% pays 33.3% tax rate while the poorest 20% of the population pay 1.7%. Even tax policy center, which is known to be
liberal, shows similar rates.”
The food came and Fanis and Kera
ate and took it easy. The next day,
Fanis and Kera went around Dublin again.
The next day, they flew home.
Kera remarked, “So I was reading that New York Times study.”
“Oh God, so you did get
corrupted”
“Well, you just talked about income
tax. They were talking about the
combined taxes with State, Federal and local.”
“No, that’s what I mean by that
33.7% to 20% number.”
“But you didn’t take into
account the percentage of the money that they make. You only talked about the percentage of taxes
they pay.”
“The richest tax bracket is the
only tax bracket that pays a greater percentage of the tax burden than the
percentage it represents in the cumulative money pool that is the American
economy.”
“So, Saez just lied?”
“& Zucman. Yes but it’s not denying these numbers. It’s that they cheated and made wrong
assumptions.”
“You’re going to have to explain
that.”
“Saez & Zucman made the tax
rates lower in the richest tax bracket by assuming they made more than they
did.”
“Why would they do that?”
“The IRS always rounds up
because they assume people undervalue their income.”
“Well, they do. If my parents give me money, I don’t declare
that.”
“Right, just like when I win
money in Vegas I don’t report it.”
“So what’s the problem?”
“The higher you go up the income
latter, the less underrepresented your declarations are. This is because if you make less than $50,000
a year, you’re more likely to be stuck by lightning twice than be audited. The rich get audited all the time so they
have to be more careful. Also, it’s the
nature of their business. People rarely
are just handing them money. Whereas, if
you’re a waitress or a delivery man, you get cash tips. You don’t declare exactly how much you were
tipped. What Saez did was assume that
the same percentage of underreported income for the poor was the same as the
rich. This isn’t true. Since the tax rate is the amount you pay
divided by how much you earn, if you make the denominator higher, the number
goes down. Rich people can’t hide as
much of a percentage of their income as poor people can.”
“Well yea because a five dollar
tip is a higher percentage of their income than the same $5 to a rich person.”
“Exactly, to make matter worse,
if you really want to include ‘everything’ then you should include tax
refunds.”
“Saez & Zucman didn’t?”
“Nope, and that wipes out the
entire tax burden for some.”
“Yea, I know.”
“Did you know that the top 1%
paid a greater share of individual taxes (37.3) than the bottom 90% combined
(30.5%)?”
“I did not know that but I think
you made your point.”
“Maybe but you still don’t
believe me. That’s what’s frustrating.
“What about the really
rich. Not 1% but like hugely rich.”
“The top 0.01%?”
“Yea”
“They pay 50% of the combined
Federal, State and local tax. This is
20% higher than what Saez-Zucman said.
The bottom group is 13% not 20 like the Saez-Zuchman study claimed. So yea, they did lie too.”
“That’s enough tax talk”
They land in London and go back
to their flat. Given the short flight,
they hardly felt they went on a vacation.
They hit the routine quickly as travelling was something each had been
doing their whole lives so were very accustomed to it. Fanis recovered from his fight but was still
unsure why Colin was insistent they were Muslims. Buddhist maybe since Kera is fluent in
Mandarin and deals in Chinese art but that’s not where he went with it. He put it out of his mind and waited for the
next time Kera had somewhere else in the world where she could either buy or
sell Chinese artifacts.
-
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